Does Bernie Sanders Still Have A Realistic Chance To Win?

The 2016 Presidential race has been nothing short of extraordinary.

With Donald Trump firmly entrenched as the presumptive nominee of the Republican Party, the Democrats continue to slug it out. 

Hillary Clinton seems to be close to clinching the nomination with 2,312 delegates out of a required 2,383 in order to be the nominee, with 1,769 pledged and 543 super delegates.

Bernie Sanders is making somewhat of a comeback when it comes to delegates, currently having 1,545 delegates, with nearly 97 percent of them (1,501) being pledged delegates, according to the Associated Press.

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While it might seem based on these numbers that Hillary Clinton seems to have the nomination waiting for her, the Sanders campaign still has a “Hail Mary” hope in California; where he could find enough delegates to even out the race.

But he would really need something dramatic to happen.

According to a recent NBC News poll, Clinton still holds a small lead when it comes to how likely Democratic voters will vote in California; with Clinton at 49 percent, leading Sanders, who is right on her tail at 47 percent.

An NBC News analysis that ran with the poll states that a win in California could help even out the race and keep Sanders going into more primaries, improving his chances of winning.

In the article, Sanders is quoted as saying “Obviously, if we don’t do well in California, it will make our path much, much harder. No question about it. But I think we have a good chance to win in California, maybe win big, and maybe win four or five of the other states that [hold races] on June 7.”

If Sanders does secure a win in California, whose primary is being held on June 7, it could help bring him back in the nomination fight, and possibly pose him in a position where he is able to secure the nomination. 

Of course, Clinton would have to preform in an historically awful way in order for that to happen.

The Sanders camp is hopeful that even if they do not win in California, that they will be able to make it past the primary season and on to the convention.

“We have absolutely the financial resources that we need to run a very, very strong campaign here in California and in the other states and in D.C. and Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands and throughout the rest of the campaign,” Sanders recently said, according to the New York Times

So what exactly can be said for the viability of the Sanders campaign?

At this moment, while he is still mathematically alive, it will take something along the lines of divine intervention for the Vermont Senator to win the Democratic nomination. 

Of course, his whole upstart movement has been something along the lines of a miracle all campaign long, so maybe something interesting will happen again.

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Cover Photo Credit: Gage Skidmore/ Flickr (CC By 2.0)

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About the Author
Alexandra Van Erven has a B.A. in Communications Studies and a minor in English from Florida Atlantic University. Her interests include politics, European history and writing, with her primary interests being the abortion controversy and conservative issues.
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